What is the current probability for "When will Glean IPO?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 31¢ (31% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 1, 2027. 344 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "When will Glean IPO?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 452.0% and 24.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "When will Glean IPO?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

When will Glean IPO?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that When will Glean IPO?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing April 1, 2027. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume or open interest, making the 31¢ price potentially unreliable for gauging true market sentiment on Glean's IPO timing.

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31¢

Bid/Ask 19/28¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Apr 1, 2027·344d remaining

KXIPOGLEAN-27APR01

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume or open interest, making the 31¢ price potentially unreliable for gauging true market sentiment on Glean's IPO timing. The extreme 445.7% implied yield on the Yes side and wide 9¢ spread suggest either very thin order books or stale pricing, while the neutral regime and flat 7-day price action indicate minimal recent trading activity. With 349 days to expiry and a moderate 4 Cliff Risk Index, this appears to be an illiquid, speculative contract that would require significant capital commitment to move meaningfully.

Resolution rules

If Glean confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 452.0%

IY (No) 24.9%

Adj IY 226%

CRI 4

Overround 0.5%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	452.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	24.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	226%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:30:22 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXIPOGLEAN-27APR01 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →