When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing October 1, 2027. The market is pricing in a 35% probability of an Oura IPO by October 2027, but the 9¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume suggest minimal liquidity despite 532 days to expiry.
Analysis
The market is pricing in a 35% probability of an Oura IPO by October 2027, but the 9¢ spread and zero 24-hour volume suggest minimal liquidity despite 532 days to expiry. The asymmetric implied yields—195.2% for Yes versus 24.1% for No—indicate the market is heavily skewed toward a no-IPO outcome, though the risk-adjusted yield of 98% suggests this pricing may not fully compensate for the binary event risk and low open interest of just $214.
Resolution rules
If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOOURA-27OCT01 yes 100