Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Elsa Bonelli win the Bulgaru vs Bonelli: W75 Chiasso Round of 32 match?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 8¢ (8% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 5, 2026. 14 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Elsa Bonelli win the Bulgaru vs Bonelli: W75 Chiasso Round of 32 match?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 35661.8% and 202.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Elsa Bonelli win the Bulgaru vs Bonelli: W75 Chiasso Round of 32 match?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	35661.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	202.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	30566%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	13	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	9216%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	7.29	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.14	Liquidity Availability Score

Will Elsa Bonelli win the Bulgaru vs Bonelli: W75 Chiasso Round of 32 match?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions