Will Cruz Azul win the Liga MX Clausura?

KXLIGAMX-26CLA-CRA · closes Jun 8, 2026 · 54 days remaining

Price

Last
18¢
Bid
18¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
4¢
24h Volume
$40
Open Interest
$13,161

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)3054.8%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)147.2%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI5Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround-0.3%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV16436%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR6.95Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR2.1/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY3055%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

249 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 3:42:49 AM

About this market

If Cruz Azul is the 2026 Liga MX Clausura Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXLIGAMX-26CLA-CRA yes 100

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