What is the current probability for "Will Angers be Relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 Season?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 5¢ (5% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 2, 2026. 41 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Angers be Relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 Season?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 16801.5% and 46.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Angers be Relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 Season?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Angers be Relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 Season?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Angers be Relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 Season?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing June 2, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $842 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

5¢

Bid/Ask 0/5¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $842·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining

KXLIGUE1RELEGATION-26-ANG

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $842 open interest, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable. The astronomical 15,064% implied yield on the Yes side and recent 400% price surge (1¢ to 5¢ over 7 days) suggest either informed trading on relegation risk or thin-market distortion, though Angers' actual relegation probability likely differs significantly from the 5% implied price. With 46 days to resolution and a wide 4¢ spread, this market lacks the depth needed for confident position-taking.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88Close-time delta 74h

Resolution rules

If Angers is relegated from Ligue 1 in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 16801.5%

IY (No) 46.5%

Adj IY 8401%

CRI 19

Overround 0.5%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	16801.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	46.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	8401%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	19	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 7:33:17 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 7:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLIGUE1RELEGATION-26-ANG yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →