Will there be over 4.5 total games in the Houston vs Los Angeles L 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
KXNBASERIESGAMES-26HOULALR1-5 · closes May 17, 2026 · 31 days remaining
Price
Last
82¢
Bid
70¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
9¢
24h Volume
$35
Open Interest
$63
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 502.8% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 2737.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 0.3% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.14 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 1173% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
9 indicator snapshots · 2 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 10:07:30 PM
About this market
If above 4.5 games are played in the Houston vs Los Angeles L 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
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