Who will win James Norris Memorial Trophy?

KXNHLNORRIS-26-RDAH · closes Jun 30, 2026 · 76 days remaining

Price

Last
7¢
Bid
3¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$6,056
Open Interest
$23,308

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)6344.6%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)35.9%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI13Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround0.0%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS0.14Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV3009%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR2.68Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.6/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY5438%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

29 indicator snapshots · 35 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 3:42:59 AM

About this market

If Rasmus Dahlin wins the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXNHLNORRIS-26-RDAH yes 100

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