Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will there be over 6.5 total games in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL pl.... This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at just 9¢, implying only a 9% probability that a best-of-seven series goes the full seven games—a mathematically improbable event that typically occurs in roughly 12-15% of NHL playoff series historically.
Analysis
This market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at just 9¢, implying only a 9% probability that a best-of-seven series goes the full seven games—a mathematically improbable event that typically occurs in roughly 12-15% of NHL playoff series historically. The astronomical 13,071% implied yield on the Yes side combined with zero 24-hour volume and minimal $20.09 open interest suggests this is a low-liquidity, potentially mispriced contract where the wide 19¢ spread reflects genuine uncertainty among sparse traders. With 28 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 10, the market remains highly illiquid and vulnerable to sharp repricing once the series actually begins.
Resolution rules
If above 6.5 games are played in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESGAMES-26LACOLR1-7 yes 100