Will Boston Bruins cover -2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 25% probability that Will Boston Bruins cover -2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?. This contract trades at 25¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $21 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 47¢ spread that likely doesn't reflect true probability.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $21 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a dangerously wide 47¢ spread that likely doesn't reflect true probability. The 25¢ Yes price implies a 31,538% annualized yield, an absurd figure driven by the microscopic position size and approaching expiry in 28 days, making this more of a liquidity mirage than a tradeable opportunity. The Cliff Risk Index of 24 and neutral regime suggest the market could experience sharp repricing once meaningful volume enters or the series outcome becomes clearer.
Resolution rules
If Boston Bruins wins by more than 2.5 games in the Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSERIESSPREAD-26BOSBUFR1-BOS3 yes 100