Will Phil Lord & Christopher Miller win Best Director at the Oscars?
KXOSCARDIR-27-PHI · closes Dec 31, 2027 · 626 days remaining
Price
Last
6¢
Bid
0¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
8¢
24h Volume
$1,130.84
Open Interest
$1,681.84
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 914.1% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 3.7% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 16 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.3% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 1.33 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | — | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | — | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | — | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 0% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
2 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 12:53:57 AM
About this market
If Phil Lord & Christopher Miller has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXOSCARDIR-27-PHI yes 100