Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1060 total customers in Q1 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1060 total customers in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing June 3, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $394 open interest, making the 9¢ price potentially unreliable despite a tight 1¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $394 open interest, making the 9¢ price potentially unreliable despite a tight 1¢ spread. The astronomical 8772.6% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing or reflects genuine skepticism about Palantir exceeding 1060 customers by Q1 2026, though the recent price recovery from 5¢ to 8¢ over seven days indicates some accumulating conviction. With 48 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 12, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal liquidity that could experience sharp repricing on any material news about Palantir's customer growth trajectory.
Resolution rules
If Palantir Technologies Inc. reports above 1060 total customers in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPLTR-26MAYCUST-1060 yes 100