Will A provision reducing improper payments in the Earned Income Tax Credit be in the next reconciliation bill?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will A provision reducing improper payments in the Earned Income Tax Credit be in the next reconciliation bill?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.

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6¢mid
Bid/Ask 2/9¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Jan 1, 2027
KXRECBILL-27-EITC
7-day price4 snapshots · 2 regime
6¢2¢ current
Apr 111¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

If the next reconciliation bill to become law includes a provision reducing improper payments in the Earned Income Tax Credit before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:30:19 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXRECBILL-27-EITC yes 100

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