Will A reduction in Medicaid spending be in the next reconciliation bill?
Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will A reduction in Medicaid spending be in the next reconciliation bill?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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9¢Bid/Ask 2/9¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Jan 1, 2027
KXRECBILL-27-MEDI
7-day price6 snapshots · 2 regime
6¢2¢ current
Apr 111¢Apr 17
Resolution rules
If the next reconciliation bill to become law includes a reduction in Medicaid spending before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:30:49 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXRECBILL-27-MEDI yes 100