Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?
Prediction markets currently give a 95% probability that Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?. This contract trades at 95¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 563-day runway until the November 2027 close, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific nomination outcome.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a substantial 563-day runway until the November 2027 close, suggesting minimal trader interest in this specific nomination outcome. The 8¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 0¢ midpoint, and the asymmetric implied yields (26.5% on Yes vs. 158.7% on No) indicate the market is heavily pricing against a Dittmer nomination, though the low Cliff Risk Index of 2 suggests structural stability. The flat 7-day price action at 71¢ combined with zero recent trading activity suggests this is a dormant market awaiting either candidate emergence or increased political attention to SC-05.
Resolution rules
If Mallory Dittmer wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 SC-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSCPRIMARY-05D26-MDIT yes 100