Will Aldous Mina be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Virginia?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Aldous Mina be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Virginia?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 1/4¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $392·Closes Nov 3, 2026
KXSENATEVAR-26-AMIN
7-day price77 snapshots · 2 regime
4¢4¢ current
Apr 101¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.85Close-time delta 3375h

Resolution rules

If Aldous Mina wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Virginia Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:31:34 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXSENATEVAR-26-AMIN yes 100

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