What is the current probability for "Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 16, 2026.

Where can I trade "Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Polymarket, closing June 16, 2026.

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1¢

Bid/Ask 1/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $0·OI $10,636.484·Closes Jun 16, 2026

0x6a5589de888a72e9e1d711a323ceb1794c9135d4f4a2029fe3bb1cb6cad66e22

Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.85Close-time delta 3375h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

0¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 11:04:47 PM

Observability mediumEvent type political

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x6a5589de888a72e9e1d711a323ceb1794c9135d4f4a2029fe3bb1cb6cad66e22 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →