Will End of Beginning be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will End of Beginning be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the da.... This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $268 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $268 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 8¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The asymmetric implied yields—4570% for Yes versus 4.4% for No—reflect the low probability and thin order book rather than genuine market conviction about "End of Beginning" reaching the #3 global spot on 2026 Wrapped. With 258 days to expiry and a 32 cliff risk index, this appears to be a speculative niche market where the wide 9¢ spread suggests significant uncertainty among the few participants willing to engage.
Resolution rules
If End of Beginning is the #3 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGTHIRD-26-END yes 100