Will David Sacks attend Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026)?
Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will David Sacks attend Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026)?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing April 26, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,424 open interest, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 5¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,424 open interest, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 5¢ spread. The astronomical 34,226% implied yield on the Yes side signals severe mispricing likely driven by the minimal liquidity, while the sharp 7-day decline from 16¢ to 10¢ suggests deteriorating conviction in Sacks's attendance as the April 25 conference date approaches. With just 10 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 9, this market is too illiquid to trade meaningfully and resolution hinges on real-time event confirmation rather than market-driven probability discovery.
Resolution rules
If David Sacks attends Trump's crypto & business conference (originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTRUMPCRYPTOCONF-26-DSAC yes 100