What is the current probability for "Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026.

Where can I trade "Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Who will be the Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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2¢

Bid/Ask 2/5¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $49.09·OI $17,191.96·Closes Dec 31, 2026

KXUFCLHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-APER

7-day price16 snapshots · 6 regime

3¢2¢ current

Apr 91¢Apr 22

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 12¢(Δ -10¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 1058.1%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

If Alex Pereira is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 1:03:16 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUFCLHEAVYWEIGHTTITLE-26-APER yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →