Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.90 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.90 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. This is an extremely illiquid micro-cap contract with a 3¢ spread on just $1,095 open interest and $628 daily volume, making the 4% price and 61,772% implied yield on the Yes side highly unreliable.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-cap contract with a 3¢ spread on just $1,095 open interest and $628 daily volume, making the 4% price and 61,772% implied yield on the Yes side highly unreliable. The contract has tripled from 1¢ to 4¢ over seven days despite XRP currently trading well above $0.90, suggesting either thin-market volatility or a shift in bearish sentiment, though the neutral regime score indicates no clear directional conviction. With only 14 days to expiry and a cliff risk index of 24, this market is approaching resolution with minimal liquidity to facilitate meaningful position adjustments.
Resolution rules
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026 is ever below $0.90, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26APR30-090 yes 100