Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026
Leader sits at 5% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 4%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Below $1.10
Outcomes
4
winner-take-all
Runner-up
4¢
Below $1.20
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$9
thin orderbook
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
0 days
Venue
Kalshi
4 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.20
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-120
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.10
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-110
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.00
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-100
Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.80 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $0.80
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-080
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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