ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (Jun 1, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.

Winner-take-all answer·4 source contracts·Kalshi 4·closed just now·Closes Jun 1, 2026 · 0d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 5% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 4%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

Below $1.10

0¢runner-up 4¢leader 5¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

4¢

Below $1.20

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

thin orderbook

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

0 days

Venue

Kalshi

4 bound

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.105¢$0 Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.204¢$9 Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.80 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $0.804¢$0 Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.004¢$0

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $

4 contracts$9

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.20

KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-120

4¢—$9K→

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.10 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.10

KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-110

5¢—$0K→

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $1.00

KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-100

4¢—$0K→

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.80 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $0.80

KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26MAY31-080

4¢—$0K→

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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