What is the current probability for "Boston vs Buffalo: Total Goals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Boston vs Buffalo: Total Goals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.3% and 11926.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Boston vs Buffalo: Total Goals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Boston vs Buffalo: Total Goals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Boston vs Buffalo: Total Goals. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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85¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/87¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 12, 2026·15d remaining

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR28BOSBUF-3

7-day price18 snapshots · 8 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 273¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If over 3.5 total combined goals are scored in the Boston vs Buffalo professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.3%

IY (No) 11926.5%

Adj IY 11352%

CRI 5

RV 4109%

VR 10.67

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11926.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	11352%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	4109%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	10.67	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.05	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 1:02:34 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/28/2026, 12:53:55 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLTOTAL-26APR28BOSBUF-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →