Drake Baldwin: 1+ hits?
KXMLBHIT-26APR141915MIAATL-ATLDBALDWIN30-1 · closes Apr 17, 2026 · 3 days remaining
Price
Last
75¢
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$406
Open Interest
$405
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 1406.3% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | >100,000% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 10 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | 8.1% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.19 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 5795% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 10.92 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 4.6/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 81320% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
14 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 1:17:26 AM
About this market
If Drake Baldwin records 1+ hits in the Miami vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMLBHIT-26APR141915MIAATL-ATLDBALDWIN30-1 yes 100