Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction markets currently give a 53% probability that Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 53¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

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53¢
Bid/Ask 51/54¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $29.759·OI $11,209.685·Closes Jun 27, 2026·66d remaining
0xbfac0154700ea285426e145725716c4ebb35f3ff1e00a3beeab0e94756b5995e
7-day price60 snapshots · 8 regime
55¢53¢ current
Apr 851¢Apr 20

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 489.3%
IY (No) 622.2%
Adj IY 311%
CRI 1
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)489.3%
IY (No)622.2%
Adj IY311%
CRI1
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:04 PM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xbfac0154700ea285426e145725716c4ebb35f3ff1e00a3beeab0e94756b5995e yes 100

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