What is the current probability for "Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 19¢ (19% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 27, 2026. 66 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2352.3% and 129.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Polymarket, closing June 27, 2026.

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19¢

Bid/Ask 17/20¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $65.208·OI $20,456.625·Closes Jun 27, 2026·66d remaining

0xcd82ced289c1009bb08ea7d74cdc4c56d7e3feaf4eebafa429e04d8d08ba8eb6

7-day price24 snapshots · 18 regime

21¢19¢ current

Apr 919¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2352.3%

IY (No) 129.4%

Adj IY 1176%

CRI 4

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2352.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	129.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1176%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:24:08 PM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xcd82ced289c1009bb08ea7d74cdc4c56d7e3feaf4eebafa429e04d8d08ba8eb6 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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