Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

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7¢
Bid/Ask 6/7¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $21,304.802·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0x9bf0249a2a84da0cbd7367649eb71a1625484d020e4843eaeef3909dad716893

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4104.3%
IY (No) 23.3%
Adj IY 2052%
CRI 13
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4104.3%
IY (No)23.3%
Adj IY2052%
CRI13
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:20 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x9bf0249a2a84da0cbd7367649eb71a1625484d020e4843eaeef3909dad716893 yes 100

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