Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing August 18, 2026.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
3¢
Bid/Ask 3/4¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $13,298.907·Closes Aug 18, 2026·118d remaining
0x84b394439b717ba0df4a8678aab2876a5fb662d4fdc74cf265091bef207d26e7
7-day price69 snapshots · 3 regime
7¢3¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 9988.6%
IY (No) 9.6%
Adj IY 4994%
CRI 32
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)9988.6%
IY (No)9.6%
Adj IY4994%
CRI32
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:26:47 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x84b394439b717ba0df4a8678aab2876a5fb662d4fdc74cf265091bef207d26e7 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions