Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?

Prediction markets currently give a 11% probability that Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?. This contract trades at 11¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.

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11¢
Bid/Ask 10/11¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $31,388.528·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0xc48c222542248f46b83c2ae823cbb165ac1d49f2e286baae8c9ff9198a34c71d

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1514.7%
IY (No) 23.1%
Adj IY 757%
CRI 8
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1514.7%
IY (No)23.1%
Adj IY757%
CRI8

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:47:58 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc48c222542248f46b83c2ae823cbb165ac1d49f2e286baae8c9ff9198a34c71d yes 100

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