How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
This contract is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
Above 12 79¢
Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-13
Price history
59¢ current
+9¢Orderbook snapshot
55 / 59¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If SpaceX has more than 13 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-13
Event family
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 1.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 10 93¢
Current share
31%
Above 13
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-13
Above 12
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-12
Above 14
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-14
Above 10
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-10
Above 15
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-15
Above 16
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-16
Above 18
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-18
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?: ≥4
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026
How many SpaceX launches in April?: 13
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 6–7
How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during next The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 59% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.