How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during next The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 6% across 1 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
6%
1 contract
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$42
1 contracts
Closes
May 19, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
How many times will Lawrence O'Donnell say Trump during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell
Recently closed in trump
- Will Trump publicly criticize Benjamin Netanyahu before Jun 29, 2026last 91% · 2d
- Will Donald Trump issue any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming his nominee for Director of National Intelligence before Sep 1, 2026last 96% · 5d
- What will Melania Trump say during 113th Annual First Lady’s Luncheonnolast 81% · 6d
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...last 96% · 7d
- Will Donald Trump issue any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming his nominee for Attorney General before Apr 24, 2026last 96% · 8d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (6% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
Thicker comparable contracts
In trump
Related reading
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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