How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$14K
Best sibling
Above 13 54¢
Ticker
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-14
Price history
13¢ current
−7¢Orderbook snapshot
13 / 16¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If SpaceX has more than 14 launches in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-14
Event family
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 1.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above 10 93¢
Current share
23%
Above 14
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-14
Above 13
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-13
Above 12
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-12
Above 10
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-10
Above 15
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-15
Above 16
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-16
Above 18
kalshi · KXSPACEXCOUNT-26MAY-18
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?: ≥4
How many SpaceX launches in April?: 13
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?: 6–7
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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