How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year?
Prediction markets currently give a 77% probability that How many oil barrels per day will the US produce this year?. This contract trades at 77¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.
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77¢Bid/Ask 60/69¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $171.3·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
KXBARRELS-26-13.80
7-day price20 snapshots · 2 regime
90¢60¢ current
Apr 115¢Apr 20
Resolution rules
If the U.S. produces at least 13.80 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.568
Spread
9¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:39:20 PM
Observability highEvent type data_release
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:17 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXBARRELS-26-13.80 yes 100