Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Polymarket.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x26d2b09d5f5d5bfd520454b3e896f368672f3a9ee542e0af6ef08e3a25e445b0 yes 100