What is the current probability for "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 503.1% and 11993.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Jamal Murray: 2+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Jamal Murray: 2+ threes. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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83¢

Bid/Ask 83/85¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $80·OI $80·Closes May 12, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR27MINDEN-DENJMURRAY27-2

7-day price36 snapshots · 3 regime

83¢83¢ current

Apr 262¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Jamal Murray records 2+ Three Pointers in the Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 503.1%

IY (No) 11993.1%

Adj IY 5780%

CRI 5

Overround 3.9%

LAS 0.04

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	503.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11993.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5780%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.04	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/27/2026, 5:54:53 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 5:53:06 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR27MINDEN-DENJMURRAY27-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →