What is the current probability for "LeBron James: 1+ blocks"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 58¢ (58% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "LeBron James: 1+ blocks"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4082.5% and 1668.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "LeBron James: 1+ blocks"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

LeBron James: 1+ blocks

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 58% probability that LeBron James: 1+ blocks. This contract trades at 58¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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58¢

Bid/Ask 3/97¢·Spread 94¢·Vol $1,449.34·OI $1,449.34·Closes May 6, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBABLK-26APR21HOULAL-LALLJAMES23-1

7-day price43 snapshots · 2 regime

54¢3¢ current

Apr 203¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

If LeBron James records 1+ Blocks in the Houston at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4082.5%

IY (No) 1668.8%

Adj IY 4083%

CRI 2

RV 9213%

VR 4.12

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4082.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1668.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4083%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	9213%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	4.12	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.9%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

94¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 3:08:03 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 2:53:18 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBABLK-26APR21HOULAL-LALLJAMES23-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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