Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2028.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x5e99baa108e4f0c78a54cfe885955d4f51d76affe481e533dbc9a063563a0736 yes 100