Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
KXMAYORLA-26-SPRA · closes Jun 2, 2027 · 415 days remaining
Price
Last
16¢
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$14,316.79
Open Interest
$147,055.27
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 540.2% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 14.3% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 6 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.0% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.07 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 782% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 3.54 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 1.0/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 502% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
75 indicator snapshots · 17 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 1:34:10 PM
About this market
If Spencer Pratt wins the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXMAYORLA-26-SPRA yes 100