What is the current probability for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 19¢ (19% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on June 30, 2026. 61 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2549.9% and 140.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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19¢

Bid/Ask 18/19¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $798.625·OI $33,065.496·Closes Jun 30, 2026·61d remaining

0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055

7-day price734 snapshots · 32 regime

52¢19¢ current

Apr 812¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2549.9%

IY (No) 140.3%

Adj IY 1208%

CRI 4

LAS 0.05

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2549.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	140.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1208%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.05	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.409

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 11:26:58 PM

Observability mediumEvent type political

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 11:23:58 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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