Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 51% probability that Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 51¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
51¢
Bid/Ask 49/52¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $37.29·OI $23,863.275·Closes Sep 1, 2026·132d remaining
0xb98ab55ac15d1154e6455b1a886841103128c8a60a610a662df28b383e6233cb
7-day price277 snapshots · 6 regime
66¢51¢ current
Apr 846¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 51¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 62.5%Close-time delta 10287h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 265.4%
IY (No) 287.5%
Adj IY 144%
CRI 1
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)265.4%
IY (No)287.5%
Adj IY144%
CRI1
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:36 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xb98ab55ac15d1154e6455b1a886841103128c8a60a610a662df28b383e6233cb yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions