Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.
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8¢Bid/Ask 5/10¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $449.8·OI $20,594.103·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0xffbcdc2256cb0149f2dda67557c1e95b4b3b41c4d08bbb255e877c97b3c119d4
7-day price269 snapshots · 8 regime
11¢8¢ current
Apr 85¢Apr 22
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:48:20 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0xffbcdc2256cb0149f2dda67557c1e95b4b3b41c4d08bbb255e877c97b3c119d4 yes 100