Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Polymarket.

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91¢
Bid/Ask 89/92¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $163.61·OI $37,996.949·195d remaining
0x44b642636473fb07f0c2319a1d25729a36134969076ffdbb8979cbfdda612b14
7-day price127 snapshots · 18 regime
95¢91¢ current
Apr 888¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 18.5%
IY (No) 1891.1%
Adj IY 946%
CRI 10
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)18.5%
IY (No)1891.1%
Adj IY946%
CRI10

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:58 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x44b642636473fb07f0c2319a1d25729a36134969076ffdbb8979cbfdda612b14 yes 100

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