Will Kurt Suzuki win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 28¢ spread, making the 14¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 908.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating thin liquidity rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity, while the sharp 57% price decline over seven days (33¢ to 14¢) suggests either new information about Suzuki's managerial prospects or simply low-confidence pricing. With nearly 250 days to expiration and only $1,980 in open interest, this market lacks sufficient depth to be a reliable probability estimate for a relatively unlikely outcome.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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