Will Dylan Beavers win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.07M open interest and a massive 79¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the $1,076 open interest figure may be inflated or stale. The 221.9% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the wide spread rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity, while the 714% realized volatility indicates this is a highly speculative position with minimal price discovery. With 247 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the recent 4¢ price decline from 44¢ to 40¢ appears modest relative to the market's extreme uncertainty, making this an illiquid bet better suited for long-term holders than active traders.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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