Will Brenton Doyle win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Brenton Doyle win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Polymarket, closing December 19, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 61¢ spread, making the 31¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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35¢
Bid/Ask /69¢·Spread 69¢·Vol $0·OI $1,077.949·Closes Dec 19, 2026·241d remaining
0x2624002b711b0c60e697969c6ea54dadcf808676b318470cb8857e4fed9a7a32
7-day price454 snapshots · 4 regime
44¢35¢ current
Apr 1227¢Apr 21

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 61¢ spread, making the 31¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 314% implied yield on the yes side combined with 1,428% realized volatility and a 9.92 vol ratio suggests highly speculative pricing rather than fundamental conviction about Doyle's 2026 Platinum Glove odds. With 247 days to expiry and only $1,084.60 in open interest, this appears to be a thinly-traded niche market where the quoted probability may not reflect true consensus expectations.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 281.1%
IY (No) 81.5%
Adj IY 141%
CRI 2
Overround 5.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)281.1%
IY (No)81.5%
Adj IY141%
CRI2
Overround5.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
69¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:46 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x2624002b711b0c60e697969c6ea54dadcf808676b318470cb8857e4fed9a7a32 yes 100

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