Will Bubba Chandler win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing distortion, with zero 24-hour volume despite a massive 1,719% implied yield on the yes side and a 13-cent spread representing 162% of the current price. The sharp 47% price decline over seven days (15¢ to 8¢) combined with astronomical realized volatility of 6,114% and a vol ratio of 22.91 suggests either significant new information about Chandler's prospects or thin-market dysfunction rather than genuine probability discovery. With 244 days to expiration and only $1,139 in open interest, this market lacks the depth to reliably price a long-dated sports outcome, making the extreme yield figures largely theoretical given execution risk.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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