Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 92% probability that Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 92¢ on Polymarket, closing June 23, 2026.

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92¢
Bid/Ask 90/93¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $13.769·OI $17,956.317·Closes Jun 23, 2026·62d remaining
0x142eb6d138c289acf13177a69971aca9ddfb494313c30818c6211ec91f1ebf6e
7-day price386 snapshots · 3 regime
95¢92¢ current
Apr 883¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 51.2%
IY (No) 6773.1%
Adj IY 3239%
CRI 12
LAS 0.04
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)51.2%
IY (No)6773.1%
Adj IY3239%
CRI12
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:45:53 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x142eb6d138c289acf13177a69971aca9ddfb494313c30818c6211ec91f1ebf6e yes 100

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