Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 85¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026. Lindy Ruff is priced at an extremely high 88¢ with a 7-day surge from 60¢, suggesting strong conviction that he'll win the 2025–2026 Jack Adams Award, though the 147% realized volatility and 8¢ spread indicate meaningful uncertainty remains.
Analysis
Lindy Ruff is priced at an extremely high 88¢ with a 7-day surge from 60¢, suggesting strong conviction that he'll win the 2025–2026 Jack Adams Award, though the 147% realized volatility and 8¢ spread indicate meaningful uncertainty remains. The asymmetric implied yields (67.3% for Yes vs. 3621% for No) reveal a classic lopsided market structure where contrarian "No" bets offer outsized returns if Ruff doesn't win, despite low liquidity at just $308 open interest. With 74 days to resolution and only $14.87 in daily volume, this market lacks depth to validate whether the 88¢ price reflects genuine coaching consensus or concentrated bullish positioning.
Also on kalshi at 79¢(Δ +6¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Jack Adams Award. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Jack Adams Award, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x4402736dd4b854aa8bc3140185bb9f090f18b292b94cc4f06147b7f31d710f9f yes 100