SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 7, 202634 days left

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 66¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 65¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

66¢
$5.8M volume
$287K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$47.1M

Best sibling

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 33¢

Ticker

0xc4c3dbcc…150a

Price history

66¢ current

+36¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 66¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
65¢17K
64¢163K
63¢36K
62¢4.7K
61¢9.8K
60¢728
59¢4.3K
58¢5.4K
AskSize
66¢69K
67¢141K
68¢5.1K
69¢9.3K
70¢8.6K
72¢900
73¢10
74¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

0xc4c3dbcc…150a

Event family

Peru Presidential Election Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$47.1M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Keiko Fujimori 66¢

Current share

12%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Keiko Fujimori

polymarket · 0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a

66¢$5.8M$11K0.0

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

polymarket · 0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951

33¢$12.1M$30K0.0

Rafael López Aliaga

polymarket · 0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96

2¢$10.9M$40K0.0

Jorge Nieto

polymarket · 0x158fdaad572880f8de3d3f00e4d3c2fbbae77108d88c29deb800141928c1e040

0¢$5.3M$11K

Ricardo Belmont

polymarket · 0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630

0¢$4.1M$0

Carlos Álvarez

polymarket · 0x9b14ba5cc37a35c0db2c9849e631d98195670be4a0f91233a81529f22a7a5949

0¢$2.1M$5K

Alfonso López Chau

polymarket · 0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11

0¢$2.0M$16K

Carlos Espá

polymarket · 0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f

0¢$840K$0

Marisol Pérez Tello

polymarket · 0x28d4cee5a4bb01e0a7b1a39f8a23b2af657d9cf06d1e0ed8443c6b09329b9be3

0¢$799K$0

Wolfgang Grozo

polymarket · 0xe18a1286c10eb4e5d6b67a81e0164425366e5dc08f9cf36e979c48d24eca569d

0¢$702K$0

César Acuña

polymarket · 0xef61cec575ac7260343e1f0c11900fee12a1f30b521b649eec7663ec5424242a

0¢$643K$0

Fernando Olivera

polymarket · 0x24a454785cac9984fde7736d0d4b37929b7253d527d359f547c909eec89862b9

0¢$472K$0

Yonhy Lescano

polymarket · 0x6a58844c4dfdf677adb5e20bcefb851833cb335210e139ce37e63482e0679617

0¢$437K$0

José Luna

polymarket · 0xf73e2e231d324cb662ad80eefdd90bba5007fc4df45bc2c7bab90d83693cc4ee

0¢$370K$0

Mesías Guevara

polymarket · 0xb06bd8cd9693172502d649f157283cf4d6b15dc6d595495eed33b70e94b6565e

0¢$324K$0

George Forsyth

polymarket · 0x82d5ffbcda5dc4cb5039bd59224c732c465dc6c052af3257f38055e8dc66b0bf

0¢$278K$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

558.9%
2106.2%
Adj IY
1037%
2
LAS
0.02

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