Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Polymarket, closing February 15, 2027. Drake Maye's 2026 MVP odds are priced at 42¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume) and minimal open interest of just $19.31, creating an extremely illiquid market with an 84¢ spread that inflates the implied yield to 167%.
Analysis
Drake Maye's 2026 MVP odds are priced at 42¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume) and minimal open interest of just $19.31, creating an extremely illiquid market with an 84¢ spread that inflates the implied yield to 167%. The extreme realized volatility of 502% and vol ratio of 4.05 suggest wild price swings despite the flat 7-day movement, likely driven by sparse, outsized trades in this thin market rather than genuine information flow.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x15956234a2c722e77162d65d5755c4bbc3564967a8d7a3a973995365a0c61058 yes 100