Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Polymarket, closing February 15, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 84¢ spread, suggesting minimal trading activity despite over 300 days to expiration.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and an unusually wide 84¢ spread, suggesting minimal trading activity despite over 300 days to expiration. The 166.6% implied yield on the Yes side appears inflated due to the thin order book rather than genuine market conviction, as evidenced by the modest $11.7k open interest and the market's neutral regime score. The 621% realized volatility and 5.11 vol ratio indicate significant price swings, likely driven by sporadic trades in a low-liquidity environment rather than fundamental shifts in Love's MVP prospects.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x76aad06c2826fa597d86dd96e8adca87c9adced9e373a60b4b6ab36f5be5d38b yes 100